As of 2025-08-03, the Intrinsic Value of Lancy Co Ltd (002612.SZ) is 15.15 CNY. This 002612.SZ valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 17.72 CNY, the upside of Lancy Co Ltd is -14.50%.
The range of the Intrinsic Value is 10.57 - 24.27 CNY
Based on its market price of 17.72 CNY and our intrinsic valuation, Lancy Co Ltd (002612.SZ) is overvalued by 14.50%.
| Range | Selected | Upside | |
| a | |||
| DCF (Growth 5y) | 10.57 - 24.27 | 15.15 | -14.5% |
| DCF (Growth 10y) | 15.73 - 32.58 | 21.40 | 20.8% |
| DCF (EBITDA 5y) | 15.55 - 26.40 | 21.11 | 19.1% |
| DCF (EBITDA 10y) | 19.25 - 32.30 | 25.61 | 44.5% |
| Fair Value | 15.27 - 15.27 | 15.27 | -13.82% |
| P/E | 7.55 - 15.33 | 10.71 | -39.6% |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.85 - 9.75 | 6.86 | -61.3% |
| EPV | (2.32) - (1.74) | (2.03) | -111.4% |
| DDM - Stable | 4.19 - 10.24 | 7.21 | -59.3% |
| DDM - Multi | 12.88 - 22.58 | 16.24 | -8.3% |
| Market Cap (mil) | 7,840.21 |
| Beta | 1.54 |
| Outstanding shares (mil) | 442.45 |
| Enterprise Value (mil) | 9,847.00 |
| Market risk premium | 6.13% |
| Cost of Equity | 10.78% |
| Cost of Debt | 5.00% |
| WACC | 9.17% |