As of 2026-04-06, the Intrinsic Value of Henderson Land Development Co Ltd (12.HK) is 15.76 HKD. This 12.HK valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (EBITDA Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 28.88 HKD, the upside of Henderson Land Development Co Ltd is -45.40%.
The range of the Intrinsic Value is 3.48 - 28.22 HKD
Based on its market price of 28.88 HKD and our intrinsic valuation, Henderson Land Development Co Ltd (12.HK) is overvalued by 45.40%.
| Range | Selected | Upside | |
| a | |||
| DCF (Growth 5y) | (20.44) - 342.69 | (11.58) | -140.1% |
| DCF (Growth 10y) | (18.40) - 439.68 | (7.22) | -125.0% |
| DCF (EBITDA 5y) | 3.48 - 28.22 | 15.76 | -45.4% |
| DCF (EBITDA 10y) | (0.28) - 42.05 | 17.35 | -39.9% |
| Fair Value | 5.84 - 5.84 | 5.84 | -79.78% |
| P/E | 10.24 - 20.06 | 15.24 | -47.2% |
| EV/EBITDA | (19.38) - 30.45 | 5.67 | -80.4% |
| EPV | (42.84) - (70.40) | (56.62) | -296.1% |
| DDM - Stable | 18.12 - 104.58 | 61.35 | 112.4% |
| DDM - Multi | 40.75 - 165.29 | 63.51 | 119.9% |
| Market Cap (mil) | 139,819.34 |
| Beta | 0.82 |
| Outstanding shares (mil) | 4,841.39 |
| Enterprise Value (mil) | 281,526.34 |
| Market risk premium | 5.98% |
| Cost of Equity | 6.26% |
| Cost of Debt | 11.93% |
| WACC | 8.59% |