As of 2025-07-10, the Intrinsic Value of China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd (1866.HK) is 20.31 HKD. This 1866.HK valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 5.51 HKD, the upside of China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd is 268.60%.
The range of the Intrinsic Value is 14.91 - 28.96 HKD
Based on its market price of 5.51 HKD and our intrinsic valuation, China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd (1866.HK) is undervalued by 268.60%.
| Range | Selected | Upside | |
| a | |||
| DCF (Growth 5y) | 14.91 - 28.96 | 20.31 | 268.6% |
| DCF (Growth 10y) | 25.15 - 45.25 | 32.89 | 496.9% |
| DCF (EBITDA 5y) | 75.37 - 125.70 | 99.99 | 1714.7% |
| DCF (EBITDA 10y) | 81.18 - 143.61 | 110.44 | 1904.4% |
| Fair Value | 31.15 - 31.15 | 31.15 | 465.32% |
| P/E | 22.72 - 29.21 | 25.99 | 371.7% |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.92 - 35.72 | 26.53 | 381.5% |
| EPV | (19.26) - (22.30) | (20.78) | -477.1% |
| DDM - Stable | 5.39 - 11.29 | 8.34 | 51.3% |
| DDM - Multi | 10.46 - 18.11 | 13.35 | 142.3% |
| Market Cap (mil) | 7,070.65 |
| Beta | 0.47 |
| Outstanding shares (mil) | 1,283.24 |
| Enterprise Value (mil) | 20,416.46 |
| Market risk premium | 5.98% |
| Cost of Equity | 13.56% |
| Cost of Debt | 4.64% |
| WACC | 7.14% |