The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862.HK) is 14.02 HKD. With the latest stock price at 14.00 HKD, the upside of Haidilao International Holding Ltd based on DCF is 0.2%.
Based on the latest price of 14.00 HKD and our DCF valuation, Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862.HK) is a buy. Buying 6862.HK stocks now will result in a potential gain of 0.2%.
Range | Selected | |
WACC / Discount Rate | 7.6% - 11.4% | 9.5% |
Long-term Growth Rate | 2.0% - 4.0% | 3.0% |
Fair Price | 10.06 - 24.27 | 14.02 |
Upside | -28.1% - 73.3% | 0.2% |
(CNY in millions) | Projections | |||||
12-2024 | 12-2025 | 12-2026 | 12-2027 | 12-2028 | 12-2029 | |
Revenue | 42,755 | 44,913 | 48,774 | 52,518 | 53,847 | 55,318 |
% Growth | 3% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 3% |
Cost of goods sold | (16,211) | (17,029) | (18,494) | (19,913) | (20,417) | (20,975) |
% of Revenue | 38% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
Selling, G&A expenses | (16,265) | (17,086) | (18,555) | (19,979) | (20,484) | (21,044) |
% of Revenue | 38% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
% of Revenue | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Net interest & other expenses | (3,655) | (3,839) | (4,170) | (4,490) | (4,603) | (4,729) |
% of Revenue | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
Tax expense | (1,924) | (1,596) | (1,733) | (1,866) | (1,913) | (1,965) |
Tax rate | 29% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 23% |
Net profit | 4,700 | 5,363 | 5,824 | 6,271 | 6,429 | 6,605 |
% Margin | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% |