Is Alcoa undervalued or overvalued?

As of 2025-03-19, the Intrinsic Value of Alcoa Corp (AA) is 51.76 USD. This Alcoa valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 35.31 USD, the upside of Alcoa Corp is 46.60%. This means that Alcoa is undervalued by 46.60%.

The range of the Intrinsic Value is 38.33 - 78.70 USD

	Range	Selected	Upside
a
DCF (Growth 5y)	38.33 - 78.70	51.76	46.6%
DCF (Growth 10y)	46.47 - 89.34	60.89	72.4%
DCF (EBITDA 5y)	41.14 - 57.78	50.31	42.5%
DCF (EBITDA 10y)	48.25 - 69.30	58.95	67.0%
Fair Value	1.14 - 1.14	1.14	-96.77%
P/E	3.87 - 18.75	10.97	-68.9%
EV/EBITDA	19.01 - 44.06	29.50	-16.5%
EPV	36.44 - 50.93	43.68	23.7%
DDM - Stable	1.49 - 3.61	2.55	-92.8%
DDM - Multi	29.76 - 50.65	37.07	5.0%