AA
Alcoa Corp
Price:  
37.20 
USD
Volume:  
5,086,174.00
United States | Metals & Mining
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Alcoa Intrinsic Value

31.50 %
Upside

What is the intrinsic value of Alcoa?

As of 2025-11-04, the Intrinsic Value of Alcoa Corp (AA) is 48.91 USD. This Alcoa valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 37.20 USD, the upside of Alcoa Corp is 31.50%.

The range of the Intrinsic Value is 37.29 - 70.21 USD

Is Alcoa undervalued or overvalued?

Based on its market price of 37.20 USD and our intrinsic valuation, Alcoa Corp (AA) is undervalued by 31.50%.

37.20 USD
Stock Price
48.91 USD
Intrinsic Value
Intrinsic Value Details

Alcoa Intrinsic Value - Valuation Summary

Range Selected Upside
a
DCF (Growth 5y) 37.29 - 70.21 48.91 31.5%
DCF (Growth 10y) 46.89 - 86.60 60.97 63.9%
DCF (EBITDA 5y) 43.79 - 63.00 53.39 43.5%
DCF (EBITDA 10y) 51.19 - 77.71 63.53 70.8%
Fair Value 22.13 - 22.13 22.13 -40.51%
P/E 21.31 - 97.38 51.84 39.4%
EV/EBITDA 23.61 - 99.00 57.01 53.2%
EPV 36.60 - 57.51 47.05 26.5%
DDM - Stable 26.53 - 61.12 43.82 17.8%
DDM - Multi 21.89 - 41.05 28.73 -22.8%

Alcoa Intrinsic Value - Key Valuation Metrics

Market Cap (mil) 9,631.45
Beta 1.67
Outstanding shares (mil) 258.91
Enterprise Value (mil) 10,724.45
Market risk premium 4.60%
Cost of Equity 10.10%
Cost of Debt 5.50%
WACC 8.80%