The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADRO.JK) is 4,746.37 IDR. With the latest stock price at 1,855.00 IDR, the upside of Adaro Energy Tbk PT based on DCF is 155.9%.
Based on the latest price of 1,855.00 IDR and our DCF valuation, Adaro Energy Tbk PT (ADRO.JK) is a buy. Buying ADRO.JK stocks now will result in a potential gain of 155.9%.
Range | Selected | |
WACC / Discount Rate | 12.3% - 15.6% | 14.0% |
Long-term Growth Rate | 0.0% - 1.0% | 0.5% |
Fair Price | 4,220.08 - 5,472.74 | 4,746.37 |
Upside | 127.5% - 195.0% | 155.9% |
(USD in millions) | Projections | |||||
12-2024 | 12-2025 | 12-2026 | 12-2027 | 12-2028 | 12-2029 | |
Revenue | 2,079 | 4,196 | 4,409 | 4,545 | 4,654 | 4,747 |
% Growth | 68% | 102% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
Cost of goods sold | (1,205) | (2,432) | (2,555) | (2,634) | (2,697) | (2,751) |
% of Revenue | 58% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 58% |
Selling, G&A expenses | (137) | (276) | (290) | (299) | (306) | (312) |
% of Revenue | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
% of Revenue | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Net interest & other expenses | 73 | 147 | 154 | 159 | 163 | 166 |
% of Revenue | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Tax expense | (172) | (468) | (492) | (507) | (520) | (530) |
Tax rate | 21% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Net profit | 637 | 1,166 | 1,226 | 1,263 | 1,294 | 1,319 |
% Margin | 31% | 28% | 28% | 28% | 28% | 28% |