ARR
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
Price:  
16.88 
USD
Volume:  
2,490,144
United States | Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)

ARR Fair Value

-100.6 %
Upside

What is the fair value of ARR?

As of 2025-07-10, the Fair Value of ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR) is -0.1 USD. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 16.88 USD, the upside of ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc is -100.6%.

Is ARR a good investment?

With the market price of 16.88 USD and our fair value calculation, ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR) is not a good investment. Investing in ARR stocks now will result in a potential loss of 100.6%.

Note: valuation result may not be accurate due to the company's negative EPS.

16.88 USD
Stock Price
-0.1 USD
Fair Price
FAIR VALUE CALCULATION

ARR Fair Value

Peter Lynch's formula is:

ARR Fair Value
= Earnings Growth Rate x TTM EPS
ARR Fair Value
= 5 x -0.02
ARR Fair Value
= -0.1

The earnings growth rate we use in the formula is the average growth rate of net income/earnings over the last 5 years. If the average growth rate is smaller than 5%, we set it to 5%. If it is larger than 25%, we set it to 25%. If the TTM EPS is negative, Peter Lynch Fair Value's result can be unreliable.

Historical Earnings
12-202012-202112-202212-202312-20245Y Avg
Net income-215.115.36-229.93-67.92-14.39-102
YoY growth13.9%107.1%-1596.6%70.5%78.8%-265.3%

ARR Fair Value - Peers Benchmarking

Market Cap (mil)EPS Fair Value Upside
a
Dynex Capital Inc1,3780.716.4928.3%
Ellington Financial Inc1,2551.639.94200.7%
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust1,1481.415.7819.7%
Orchid Island Capital Inc7940.31.6-78%
TPG RE Finance Trust Inc6470.94.46-44.9%
New York Mortgage Trust Inc6100.42.11-68.8%
AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc2281.67.81.5%
Acres Commercial Realty Corp1303.215.95-9.6%
Lument Finance Trust Inc1100.37.24244.6%
Manhattan Bridge Capital Inc620.52.4-55.9%

ARR Fair Value - Key Data

Market Cap (mil)1,380
P/E-
Forward P/E311.7x
EPS-0.02
Avg earnings growth rate-265.3%
TTM earnings-2

ARR Fair Value - Formula's Origin

Peter Lynch is one of the most legendary investors/fund managers of all time. His philosophy for stock investing is very simple and straightforward: he invests in stocks that are undervalued, meaning its P/E is less than or equal to its earnings growth rate. He believes that if a stock is trading at its fair value, the PEG ratio, which was also invented by him, should be 1.

Therefore, his formula to determine a company's fair value is:

Peter Lynch Fair Value = Earnings Growth Rate * EPS * PEG

PEG is set to 1 so we can ignore it in the calculation. Based on the formula, if the earnings growth rate of a company is 15%, Peter Lynch is willing to buy its share up to P/E = 15.