As of 2025-05-15, the Intrinsic Value of Air Transport Services Group Inc (ATSG) is 27.53 USD. This ATSG valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 22.48 USD, the upside of Air Transport Services Group Inc is 22.5%.

The range of the Intrinsic Value is 11.86 - 72.99 USD.

Is ATSG undervalued or overvalued?

Based on its market price of 22.48 USD and our intrinsic valuation, Air Transport Services Group Inc (ATSG) is undervalued by 22.5%.

22.48 USD

Stock Price

27.53 USD

Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic Value Details

ATSG Intrinsic Value - Valuation Summary

	Range	Selected	Upside
a
DCF (Growth Exit 5Y)	11.86 - 72.99	27.53	22.5%
DCF (Growth Exit 10Y)	33.6 - 134.08	59.49	164.6%
DCF (EBITDA Exit 5Y)	43.63 - 75.62	58.90	162.0%
DCF (EBITDA Exit 10Y)	57.58 - 105.88	79.49	253.6%
Peter Lynch Fair Value	10.41 - 10.41	10.41	-53.7%
P/E Multiples	8.83 - 19.59	13.73	-38.9%
EV/EBITDA Multiples	24.27 - 95.33	51.89	130.8%
Earnings Power Value	34.13 - 63.82	48.98	117.9%
Dividend Discount Model - Stable	2.95 - 6.98	4.97	-77.9%
Dividend Discount Model - Multi Stages	19.5 - 36.65	25.55	13.6%

ATSG Intrinsic Value - Peers Comparison

	Range	Selected	Upside
a
Expeditors International of Washington Inc	107.47 - 198.48	137.22	20.1%
XPO Logistics Inc	104.18 - 290.04	156.21	22.3%
CH Robinson Worldwide Inc	144.36 - 345.9	203.40	107.5%
Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Inc	103.18 - 180.78	133.82	30.6%
Hub Group Inc	12.86 - 83.47	24.21	-31.8%
Echo Global Logistics Inc	76.57 - 104.19	89.08	84.7%
Cargojet Inc	88.42 - 275.54	142.15	47.7%
Radiant Logistics Inc	16 - 36.82	22.04	243.8%
Nurminen Logistics Oyj	2.29 - 4.78	3.12	196.9%

ATSG Intrinsic Value - Key Valuation Metrics

Market Cap (mil)	1,481
Beta	0.94
Outstanding shares (mil)	66
Enterprise Value (mil)	2,969

Market risk premium	5.1%
Cost of Equity	9.65%
Cost of Debt	6.55%
WACC	7.0%