As of 2025-10-02, the Intrinsic Value of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) is 165.32 USD. This Alibaba valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 182.78 USD, the upside of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd is -9.60%.
The range of the Intrinsic Value is 121.90 - 263.33 USD
Based on its market price of 182.78 USD and our intrinsic valuation, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) is overvalued by 9.60%.
| Range | Selected | Upside | |
| a | |||
| DCF (Growth 5y) | 121.90 - 263.33 | 165.32 | -9.6% |
| DCF (Growth 10y) | 151.52 - 310.14 | 200.57 | 9.7% |
| DCF (EBITDA 5y) | 160.85 - 210.30 | 198.77 | 8.7% |
| DCF (EBITDA 10y) | 187.69 - 254.30 | 232.63 | 27.3% |
| Fair Value | 5.88 - 5.88 | 5.88 | -96.78% |
| P/E | 182.77 - 182.77 | 182.77 | -0.0% |
| EV/EBITDA | 116.77 - 172.73 | 155.30 | -15.0% |
| EPV | 68.30 - 87.54 | 77.92 | -57.4% |
| DDM - Stable | 85.82 - 241.53 | 163.68 | -10.5% |
| DDM - Multi | 113.43 - 249.94 | 156.25 | -14.5% |
| Market Cap (mil) | 412,856.16 |
| Beta | 0.58 |
| Outstanding shares (mil) | 2,258.76 |
| Enterprise Value (mil) | 412,856.16 |
| Market risk premium | 4.60% |
| Cost of Equity | 8.48% |
| Cost of Debt | 4.41% |
| WACC | 8.06% |