CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
Price:  
50.78 
USD
Volume:  
9,734,875.00
United States | Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure
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Chipotle Fair Value

-42.95 %
Upside

What is the fair value of Chipotle?

As of 2025-05-23, the Fair Value of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) is 28.97 USD. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 50.78 USD, the upside of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is -42.95%.

Is Chipotle a good investment?

With the market price of 50.78 USD and our fair value calculation, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) is not a good investment. Investing in Chipotle stocks now will result in a potential loss of 42.95%.

50.78 USD
Stock Price
28.97 USD
Fair Price
FAIR VALUE CALCULATION

Chipotle Fair Value

Peter Lynch's formula is:

Chipotle Fair Value
= Earnings Growth Rate x TTM EPS
Chipotle Fair Value
= 25.00 x 1.16
Chipotle Fair Value
= 28.97

The earnings growth rate we use in the formula is the average growth rate of net income/earnings over the last 5 years. If the average growth rate is smaller than 5%, we set it to 5%. If it is larger than 25%, we set it to 25%. If the TTM EPS is negative, Peter Lynch Fair Value's result can be unreliable.

Historical Earnings
2020-12-31 2021-12-31 2022-12-31 2023-12-31 2024-12-31 5Y Avg
Net income 355.77 652.98 899.10 1,228.74 1,534.11 934.14
YoY growth 1.60% 83.54% 37.69% 36.66% 24.85% 36.87%

Chipotle Fair Value - Key Data

Market Cap (mil) 68,418.94
P/E 43.82x
Forward P/E 39.02x
EPS 1.16
Avg earnings growth rate 36.87%
TTM earnings 1,561.42