CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
Price:  
42.10 
USD
Volume:  
20,537,760.00
United States | Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure
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Chipotle Intrinsic Value

51.30 %
Upside

What is the intrinsic value of Chipotle?

As of 2025-10-15, the Intrinsic Value of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) is 63.68 USD. This Chipotle valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 42.10 USD, the upside of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is 51.30%.

The range of the Intrinsic Value is 45.12 - 113.33 USD

Is Chipotle undervalued or overvalued?

Based on its market price of 42.10 USD and our intrinsic valuation, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) is undervalued by 51.30%.

42.10 USD
Stock Price
63.68 USD
Intrinsic Value
Intrinsic Value Details

Chipotle Intrinsic Value - Valuation Summary

Range Selected Upside
a
DCF (Growth 5y) 45.12 - 113.33 63.68 51.3%
DCF (Growth 10y) 61.94 - 147.81 85.41 102.9%
DCF (EBITDA 5y) 41.29 - 59.60 50.76 20.6%
DCF (EBITDA 10y) 56.30 - 80.64 68.53 62.8%
Fair Value 28.75 - 28.75 28.75 -31.72%
P/E 22.84 - 30.07 26.81 -36.3%
EV/EBITDA 20.02 - 39.22 28.96 -31.2%
EPV 13.71 - 16.25 14.98 -64.4%
DDM - Stable 9.79 - 26.66 18.23 -56.7%
DDM - Multi 22.15 - 47.26 30.21 -28.3%

Chipotle Intrinsic Value - Key Valuation Metrics

Market Cap (mil) 56,451.05
Beta 0.86
Outstanding shares (mil) 1,340.88
Enterprise Value (mil) 55,606.52
Market risk premium 4.60%
Cost of Equity 9.05%
Cost of Debt 5.00%
WACC 6.45%