ELF Fair Value
What is the fair value of ELF?
As of 2025-07-06, the Fair Value of e.l.f. Beauty Inc (ELF) is 49.68 USD. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 130.98 USD, the upside of e.l.f. Beauty Inc is -62.1%.
Is ELF a good investment?
With the market price of 130.98 USD and our fair value calculation, e.l.f. Beauty Inc (ELF) is not a good investment. Investing in ELF stocks now will result in a potential loss of 62.1%.
Peter Lynch's formula is:
The earnings growth rate we use in the formula is the average growth rate of net income/earnings over the last 5 years. If the average growth rate is smaller than 5%, we set it to 5%. If it is larger than 25%, we set it to 25%. If the TTM EPS is negative, Peter Lynch Fair Value's result can be unreliable.
| Historical Earnings | ||||||
| 03-2021 | 03-2022 | 03-2023 | 03-2024 | 03-2025 | 5Y Avg | |
| Net income | 6.2 | 21.8 | 61.5 | 127.66 | 112.09 | 66 |
| YoY growth | -65.4% | 251.6% | 182.1% | 107.6% | -12.2% | 92.7% |
| Market Cap (mil) | EPS | Fair Value | Upside | ||
| a | |||||
e.l.f. Beauty Inc | 7,387 | 2 | 49.68 | -62.1% | |
| Inter Parfums Inc | 4,450 | 5.2 | 129.05 | -6.9% | |
| Jamieson Wellness Inc | 1,472 | 1.3 | 14.64 | -58.6% | |
| Natures Sunshine Products Inc | 286 | 0.6 | 13.79 | -11.5% | |
| LifeVantage Corp | 173 | 0.7 | 3.63 | -73.5% | |
| United-Guardian Inc | 37 | 0.6 | 3.14 | -61.2% | |
| Mannatech Inc | 17 | -0.1 | -2.89 | -131.5% | |
| Integrated Biopharma Inc | 11 | 0 | 1.03 | 190.4% | |
| Market Cap (mil) | 7,387 |
| P/E | 65.9x |
| Forward P/E | 50.2x |
| EPS | 1.99 |
| Avg earnings growth rate | 92.7% |
| TTM earnings | 112 |
Peter Lynch is one of the most legendary investors/fund managers of all time. His philosophy for stock investing is very simple and straightforward: he invests in stocks that are undervalued, meaning its P/E is less than or equal to its earnings growth rate. He believes that if a stock is trading at its fair value, the PEG ratio, which was also invented by him, should be 1.
Therefore, his formula to determine a company's fair value is:
Peter Lynch Fair Value = Earnings Growth Rate * EPS * PEG
PEG is set to 1 so we can ignore it in the calculation. Based on the formula, if the earnings growth rate of a company is 15%, Peter Lynch is willing to buy its share up to P/E = 15.