As of 2025-06-06, the Intrinsic Value of Newcrest Mining Ltd (NCM.AX) is 17.96 AUD. This NCM.AX valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 23.35 AUD, the upside of Newcrest Mining Ltd is -23.10%.
The range of the Intrinsic Value is 14.12 - 24.72 AUD
Based on its market price of 23.35 AUD and our intrinsic valuation, Newcrest Mining Ltd (NCM.AX) is overvalued by 23.10%.
| Range | Selected | Upside | |
| a | |||
| DCF (Growth 5y) | 14.12 - 24.72 | 17.96 | -23.1% |
| DCF (Growth 10y) | 16.19 - 26.62 | 20.01 | -14.3% |
| DCF (EBITDA 5y) | 26.79 - 44.83 | 32.71 | 40.1% |
| DCF (EBITDA 10y) | 26.17 - 44.00 | 32.18 | 37.8% |
| Fair Value | 33.92 - 33.92 | 33.92 | 45.27% |
| P/E | 20.98 - 30.02 | 23.21 | -0.6% |
| EV/EBITDA | 21.39 - 44.87 | 27.87 | 19.4% |
| EPV | 9.28 - 12.15 | 10.71 | -54.1% |
| DDM - Stable | 9.37 - 20.70 | 15.03 | -35.6% |
| DDM - Multi | 13.10 - 21.25 | 16.11 | -31.0% |
| Market Cap (mil) | 20,818.98 |
| Beta | 0.96 |
| Outstanding shares (mil) | 891.61 |
| Enterprise Value (mil) | 23,087.58 |
| Market risk premium | 5.10% |
| Cost of Equity | 10.02% |
| Cost of Debt | 5.25% |
| WACC | 9.18% |