OGI.TO
OrganiGram Holdings Inc
Price:  
1.9 
CAD
Volume:  
65,220
Canada | Pharmaceuticals

OGI.TO DCF Valuation - Growth Exit 5Y

-528.1 %
Upside

What is the DCF valuation of OGI.TO?

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of OrganiGram Holdings Inc (OGI.TO) is (8.13) CAD. With the latest stock price at 1.90 CAD, the upside of OrganiGram Holdings Inc based on DCF is -528.1%.

Is OGI.TO a buy or a sell?

Based on the latest price of 1.90 CAD and our DCF valuation, OrganiGram Holdings Inc (OGI.TO) is a sell. Selling OGI.TO stocks now will result in a potential gain of 528.1%.

Note: valuation result may not be accurate due to the company's negative cashflows.

Range Selected
WACC / Discount Rate5.4% - 7.3%6.3%
Long-term Growth Rate 3.0% - 5.0%4.0%
Fair Price(42.28) - (4.85)(8.13)
Upside-2325.3% - -355.0%-528.1%
1.90 CAD
Stock Price
(8.13) CAD
Fair Price
REVENUE & EXPENSES
CAPEX
D&A
WORKING CAPITAL
TERMINAL VALUE

OGI.TO DCF Valuation: Revenue & Expenses Forecast

(CAD in millions)Projections
09-202409-202509-202609-202709-202809-2029
Revenue160181190199216230
% Growth
1%13%5%5%9%6%
Cost of goods sold(163)(175)(175)(175)(180)(182)
% of Revenue102%97%92%88%83%79%
Selling, G&A expenses(68)(77)(81)(85)(92)(98)
% of Revenue43%43%43%43%43%43%
Research & Development(11)(13)(13)(14)(15)(16)
% of Revenue7%7%7%7%7%7%
Net interest & other expenses384245475154
% of Revenue23%23%23%23%23%23%
Tax expense000000
Tax rate0%1%1%1%1%1%
Net profit(45)(42)(35)(27)(20)(12)
% Margin-28%-23%-18%-14%-9%-5%