As of 2025-05-10, the Intrinsic Value of Origin Energy Ltd (ORG.AX) is 6.99 AUD. This ORG.AX valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 11.03 AUD, the upside of Origin Energy Ltd is -36.70%.
The range of the Intrinsic Value is 4.84 - 11.34 AUD
Based on its market price of 11.03 AUD and our intrinsic valuation, Origin Energy Ltd (ORG.AX) is overvalued by 36.70%.
| Range | Selected | Upside | |
| a | |||
| DCF (Growth 5y) | 4.84 - 11.34 | 6.99 | -36.7% |
| DCF (Growth 10y) | 5.04 - 10.66 | 6.92 | -37.3% |
| DCF (EBITDA 5y) | 6.10 - 8.97 | 8.09 | -26.6% |
| DCF (EBITDA 10y) | 6.12 - 9.09 | 7.98 | -27.6% |
| Fair Value | 4.12 - 4.12 | 4.12 | -62.66% |
| P/E | 8.19 - 11.33 | 9.14 | -17.2% |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.92 - 6.75 | 5.59 | -49.3% |
| EPV | 3.49 - 5.04 | 4.27 | -61.3% |
| DDM - Stable | 6.76 - 17.25 | 12.01 | 8.8% |
| DDM - Multi | 8.89 - 16.50 | 11.45 | 3.8% |
| Market Cap (mil) | 19,001.93 |
| Beta | 0.46 |
| Outstanding shares (mil) | 1,722.75 |
| Enterprise Value (mil) | 22,868.93 |
| Market risk premium | 5.10% |
| Cost of Equity | 8.41% |
| Cost of Debt | 5.00% |
| WACC | 7.62% |