The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON) is (12.04) USD. With the latest stock price at 6.71 USD, the upside of Peloton Interactive Inc based on DCF is -279.4%.
Based on the latest price of 6.71 USD and our DCF valuation, Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON) is a sell. Selling Peloton stocks now will result in a potential gain of 279.4%.
Note: valuation result may not be accurate due to the company's negative earnings.
Range | Selected | |
WACC / Discount Rate | 7.7% - 9.3% | 8.5% |
Long-term Growth Rate | 3.0% - 5.0% | 4.0% |
Fair Price | (18.21) - (9.37) | (12.04) |
Upside | -371.4% - -239.6% | -279.4% |
(USD in millions) | Projections | |||||
06-2024 | 06-2025 | 06-2026 | 06-2027 | 06-2028 | 06-2029 | |
Revenue | 2,700 | 2,467 | 2,517 | 2,567 | 2,618 | 2,671 |
% Growth | 4% | -9% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Cost of goods sold | (1,494) | (1,297) | (1,256) | (1,218) | (1,180) | (1,143) |
% of Revenue | 55% | 53% | 50% | 47% | 45% | 43% |
Selling, G&A expenses | (1,263) | (1,154) | (1,177) | (1,200) | (1,224) | (1,249) |
% of Revenue | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% |
Research & Development | (294) | (269) | (274) | (280) | (285) | (291) |
% of Revenue | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Net interest & other expenses | (202) | (184) | (188) | (192) | (196) | (199) |
% of Revenue | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
Tax expense | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Tax rate | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Net profit | (552) | (433) | (376) | (320) | (265) | (210) |
% Margin | -20% | -18% | -15% | -12% | -10% | -8% |