As of 2025-05-15, the Intrinsic Value of Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) is 166.09 USD. This TOL valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 105.07 USD, the upside of Toll Brothers Inc is 58.1%.

The range of the Intrinsic Value is 138.84 - 206.54 USD.

Is TOL undervalued or overvalued?

Based on its market price of 105.07 USD and our intrinsic valuation, Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) is undervalued by 58.1%.

105.07 USD

Stock Price

166.09 USD

Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic Value Details

TOL Intrinsic Value - Valuation Summary

	Range	Selected	Upside
a
DCF (Growth Exit 5Y)	138.84 - 206.54	166.09	58.1%
DCF (Growth Exit 10Y)	147.15 - 213.6	174.01	65.6%
DCF (EBITDA Exit 5Y)	127.13 - 145.12	133.55	27.1%
DCF (EBITDA Exit 10Y)	156.16 - 186.67	168.40	60.3%
Peter Lynch Fair Value	379.46 - 379.46	379.46	261.15%
P/E Multiples	94.04 - 102.91	98.47	-6.3%
EV/EBITDA Multiples	97.44 - 111.02	104.09	-0.9%
Earnings Power Value	132.52 - 173.84	153.18	45.8%
Dividend Discount Model - Stable	106.7 - 205.93	156.32	48.8%
Dividend Discount Model - Multi Stages	123.36 - 190.1	150.00	42.8%

TOL Intrinsic Value - Peers Comparison

	Range	Selected	Upside
a
NVR Inc	7,568.23 - 10,961.69	8,907.82	24.3%
Pultegroup Inc	151.38 - 236.69	184.10	80.4%
Taylor Morrison Home Corp	75.09 - 114	90.80	54.1%
Meritage Homes Corp	88.58 - 140.79	108.64	61.6%
MDC Holdings Inc	101.28 - 224.32	138.07	119.2%
KB Home	58.43 - 91	71.48	32.6%
M/I Homes Inc	227.35 - 343.7	272.75	148.6%
Tri Pointe Homes Inc (Delaware)	49.93 - 80.21	61.54	97.2%
Dream Finders Homes Inc	55.42 - 83.84	66.80	187.2%
Century Communities Inc	33.95 - 133.8	64.06	15.9%

TOL Intrinsic Value - Key Valuation Metrics

Market Cap (mil)	10,448
Beta	0.86
Outstanding shares (mil)	99
Enterprise Value (mil)	12,619

Market risk premium	5.1%
Cost of Equity	8.8%
Cost of Debt	5%
WACC	7.7%