Is Vistra undervalued or overvalued?
As of 2025-03-15, the Intrinsic Value of Vistra Corp (VST) is 196.14 USD. This Vistra valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 124.46 USD, the upside of Vistra Corp is 57.60%. This means that Vistra is undervalued by 57.60%.
The range of the Intrinsic Value is 129.43 - 358.87 USD
| Range | Selected | Upside | |
| a | |||
| DCF (Growth 5y) | 129.43 - 358.87 | 196.14 | 57.6% |
| DCF (Growth 10y) | 139.45 - 349.61 | 200.99 | 61.5% |
| DCF (EBITDA 5y) | 98.32 - 132.91 | 112.73 | -9.4% |
| DCF (EBITDA 10y) | 115.08 - 155.49 | 132.24 | 6.3% |
| Fair Value | 39.23 - 39.23 | 39.23 | -68.48% |
| P/E | 66.85 - 99.33 | 83.61 | -32.8% |
| EV/EBITDA | 72.59 - 278.72 | 172.24 | 38.4% |
| EPV | 365.12 - 478.60 | 421.86 | 239.0% |
| DDM - Stable | 76.54 - 216.57 | 146.56 | 17.8% |
| DDM - Multi | 90.12 - 195.45 | 123.06 | -1.1% |
| Market Cap (mil) | 42,179.49 |
| Beta | 3.07 |
| Outstanding shares (mil) | 338.90 |
| Enterprise Value (mil) | 59,592.49 |
| Market risk premium | 4.60% |
| Cost of Equity | 7.22% |
| Cost of Debt | 4.93% |
| WACC | 6.14% |