As of 2025-05-17, the Intrinsic Value of Toly Bread Co Ltd (603866.SS) is 3.35 CNY. This 603866.SS valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 5.46 CNY, the upside of Toly Bread Co Ltd is -38.70%.
The range of the Intrinsic Value is 2.54 - 4.84 CNY
Based on its market price of 5.46 CNY and our intrinsic valuation, Toly Bread Co Ltd (603866.SS) is overvalued by 38.70%.
| Range | Selected | Upside | |
| a | |||
| DCF (Growth 5y) | 2.54 - 4.84 | 3.35 | -38.7% |
| DCF (Growth 10y) | 2.92 - 5.22 | 3.74 | -31.5% |
| DCF (EBITDA 5y) | 10.09 - 13.51 | 11.62 | 112.8% |
| DCF (EBITDA 10y) | 8.13 - 12.11 | 9.87 | 80.7% |
| Fair Value | 1.53 - 1.53 | 1.53 | -71.90% |
| P/E | 5.71 - 6.43 | 5.99 | 9.7% |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.67 - 10.72 | 8.23 | 50.8% |
| EPV | (2.02) - (2.50) | (2.26) | -141.3% |
| DDM - Stable | 1.74 - 4.10 | 2.92 | -46.5% |
| DDM - Multi | 3.00 - 4.93 | 3.68 | -32.6% |
| Market Cap (mil) | 8,734.47 |
| Beta | 1.47 |
| Outstanding shares (mil) | 1,599.72 |
| Enterprise Value (mil) | 9,759.83 |
| Market risk premium | 6.13% |
| Cost of Equity | 11.53% |
| Cost of Debt | 5.00% |
| WACC | 10.62% |