The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH) is 16.43 USD. With the latest stock price at 49.04 USD, the upside of Enphase Energy Inc based on DCF is -66.5%.
Based on the latest price of 49.04 USD and our DCF valuation, Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH) is a sell. Selling ENPH stocks now will result in a potential gain of 66.5%.
Range | Selected | |
WACC / Discount Rate | 7.5% - 10.2% | 8.9% |
Long-term Growth Rate | 3.0% - 5.0% | 4.0% |
Fair Price | 9.22 - 36.87 | 16.43 |
Upside | -81.2% - -24.8% | -66.5% |
(USD in millions) | Projections | |||||
12-2024 | 12-2025 | 12-2026 | 12-2027 | 12-2028 | 12-2029 | |
Revenue | 1,330 | 1,577 | 1,775 | 2,002 | 2,338 | 2,649 |
% Growth | 42% | 19% | 13% | 13% | 17% | 13% |
Cost of goods sold | (701) | (790) | (844) | (905) | (1,004) | (1,080) |
% of Revenue | 53% | 50% | 48% | 45% | 43% | 41% |
Selling, G&A expenses | (324) | (384) | (432) | (487) | (569) | (644) |
% of Revenue | 24% | 24% | 24% | 24% | 24% | 24% |
Research & Development | (201) | (239) | (269) | (303) | (354) | (401) |
% of Revenue | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% |
Net interest & other expenses | 16 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 28 | 32 |
% of Revenue | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Tax expense | (18) | (27) | (36) | (48) | (64) | (80) |
Tax rate | 15% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Net profit | 103 | 157 | 215 | 283 | 376 | 475 |
% Margin | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 18% |