FRPT
Freshpet Inc
Price:  
79.09 
USD
Volume:  
2,995,908
United States | Food Products

FRPT Fair Value

-93.9 %
Upside

What is the fair value of FRPT?

As of 2025-05-06, the Fair Value of Freshpet Inc (FRPT) is 4.82 USD. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 79.09 USD, the upside of Freshpet Inc is -93.9%.

Is FRPT a good investment?

With the market price of 79.09 USD and our fair value calculation, Freshpet Inc (FRPT) is not a good investment. Investing in FRPT stocks now will result in a potential loss of 93.9%.

79.09 USD
Stock Price
4.82 USD
Fair Price
FAIR VALUE CALCULATION

FRPT Fair Value

Peter Lynch's formula is:

FRPT Fair Value
= Earnings Growth Rate x TTM EPS
FRPT Fair Value
= 5 x 0.96
FRPT Fair Value
= 4.82

The earnings growth rate we use in the formula is the average growth rate of net income/earnings over the last 5 years. If the average growth rate is smaller than 5%, we set it to 5%. If it is larger than 25%, we set it to 25%. If the TTM EPS is negative, Peter Lynch Fair Value's result can be unreliable.

Historical Earnings
12-202012-202112-202212-202312-20245Y Avg
Net income-3.2-29.7-59.5-33.6146.93-16
YoY growth-128.6%-828.1%-100.3%43.5%239.6%-154.8%

FRPT Fair Value - Peers Benchmarking

Market Cap (mil)EPS Fair Value Upside
a
Lancaster Colony Corp4,4515.728.45-82.4%
Hostess Brands Inc4,4241.313.55-59.3%
Simply Good Foods Co3,7291.436.01-2.4%
J & J Snack Foods Corp2,5704.3108.28-17.9%
Tootsie Roll Industries Inc2,4321.28.1-76.2%
UTZ Brands Inc1,6430.10.56-95.1%
John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc7144.240.53-33.9%
Rogers Sugar Inc7240.410.8792.4%
Lifeway Foods Inc3550.614.84-36.4%
MamaMancini's Holdings Inc1370.11.58-57.9%

FRPT Fair Value - Key Data

Market Cap (mil)3,853
P/E82.1x
Forward P/E48.1x
EPS0.96
Avg earnings growth rate-154.8%
TTM earnings47

FRPT Fair Value - Formula's Origin

Peter Lynch is one of the most legendary investors/fund managers of all time. His philosophy for stock investing is very simple and straightforward: he invests in stocks that are undervalued, meaning its P/E is less than or equal to its earnings growth rate. He believes that if a stock is trading at its fair value, the PEG ratio, which was also invented by him, should be 1.

Therefore, his formula to determine a company's fair value is:

Peter Lynch Fair Value = Earnings Growth Rate * EPS * PEG

PEG is set to 1 so we can ignore it in the calculation. Based on the formula, if the earnings growth rate of a company is 15%, Peter Lynch is willing to buy its share up to P/E = 15.