GEO
Geo Group Inc
Price:  
26.89 
USD
Volume:  
3,066,747.00
United States | Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
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GEO Intrinsic Value

82.50 %
Upside

What is the intrinsic value of GEO?

As of 2025-05-16, the Intrinsic Value of Geo Group Inc (GEO) is 49.07 USD. This GEO valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 26.89 USD, the upside of Geo Group Inc is 82.50%.

The range of the Intrinsic Value is 31.75 - 93.23 USD

Is GEO undervalued or overvalued?

Based on its market price of 26.89 USD and our intrinsic valuation, Geo Group Inc (GEO) is undervalued by 82.50%.

26.89 USD
Stock Price
49.07 USD
Intrinsic Value
Intrinsic Value Details

GEO Intrinsic Value - Valuation Summary

Range Selected Upside
a
DCF (Growth 5y) 31.75 - 93.23 49.07 82.5%
DCF (Growth 10y) 39.21 - 103.09 57.34 113.2%
DCF (EBITDA 5y) 33.25 - 42.37 37.79 40.5%
DCF (EBITDA 10y) 39.04 - 51.43 45.00 67.3%
Fair Value 1.80 - 1.80 1.80 -93.29%
P/E 9.41 - 11.87 10.32 -61.6%
EV/EBITDA (19.92) - 19.35 (3.71) -113.8%
EPV 23.16 - 32.54 27.85 3.6%
DDM - Stable 3.35 - 10.95 7.15 -73.4%
DDM - Multi 12.43 - 32.19 18.01 -33.0%

GEO Intrinsic Value - Key Valuation Metrics

Market Cap (mil) 3,840.97
Beta 1.93
Outstanding shares (mil) 142.84
Enterprise Value (mil) 5,459.86
Market risk premium 4.60%
Cost of Equity 8.25%
Cost of Debt 7.06%
WACC 7.28%