As of 2025-09-18, the Intrinsic Value of Geo Group Inc (GEO) is 42.75 USD. This GEO valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 21.61 USD, the upside of Geo Group Inc is 97.80%.
The range of the Intrinsic Value is 25.73 - 93.08 USD
Based on its market price of 21.61 USD and our intrinsic valuation, Geo Group Inc (GEO) is undervalued by 97.80%.
| Range | Selected | Upside | |
| a | |||
| DCF (Growth 5y) | 25.73 - 93.08 | 42.75 | 97.8% |
| DCF (Growth 10y) | 31.12 - 100.30 | 48.76 | 125.6% |
| DCF (EBITDA 5y) | 29.15 - 36.82 | 32.78 | 51.7% |
| DCF (EBITDA 10y) | 33.74 - 45.90 | 39.35 | 82.1% |
| Fair Value | 3.20 - 3.20 | 3.20 | -85.21% |
| P/E | 10.09 - 19.96 | 14.85 | -31.3% |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.39 - 26.16 | 19.18 | -11.3% |
| EPV | 21.11 - 33.81 | 27.46 | 27.1% |
| DDM - Stable | 5.74 - 20.72 | 13.23 | -38.8% |
| DDM - Multi | 10.84 - 31.09 | 16.16 | -25.2% |
| Market Cap (mil) | 3,058.46 |
| Beta | 1.76 |
| Outstanding shares (mil) | 141.53 |
| Enterprise Value (mil) | 4,686.77 |
| Market risk premium | 4.60% |
| Cost of Equity | 8.29% |
| Cost of Debt | 8.11% |
| WACC | 7.48% |