HUBG
Hub Group Inc
Price:  
33.92 
USD
Volume:  
461,784
United States | Air Freight & Logistics

HUBG Fair Value

18.8 %
Upside

What is the fair value of HUBG?

As of 2025-05-22, the Fair Value of Hub Group Inc (HUBG) is 40.29 USD. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 33.92 USD, the upside of Hub Group Inc is 18.8%.

Is HUBG a good investment?

With the market price of 33.92 USD and our fair value calculation, Hub Group Inc (HUBG) is a good investment. Investing in HUBG stocks now will result in a potential gain of 18.8%.

33.92 USD
Stock Price
40.29 USD
Fair Price
FAIR VALUE CALCULATION

HUBG Fair Value

Peter Lynch's formula is:

HUBG Fair Value
= Earnings Growth Rate x TTM EPS
HUBG Fair Value
= 23.8 x 1.69
HUBG Fair Value
= 40.29

The earnings growth rate we use in the formula is the average growth rate of net income/earnings over the last 5 years. If the average growth rate is smaller than 5%, we set it to 5%. If it is larger than 25%, we set it to 25%. If the TTM EPS is negative, Peter Lynch Fair Value's result can be unreliable.

Historical Earnings
12-202012-202112-202212-202312-20245Y Avg
Net income73.56171.47356.95167.53103.99175
YoY growth-31.4%133.1%108.2%-53.1%-37.9%23.8%

HUBG Fair Value - Peers Benchmarking

Market Cap (mil)EPS Fair Value Upside
a
Expeditors International of Washington Inc15,6325.994.38-16.8%
XPO Logistics Inc14,2073.382.58-31.5%
CH Robinson Worldwide Inc11,4904.337.62-61.3%
Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Inc2,93412.4111.238.5%
Air Transport Services Group Inc1,4810.410.41-53.7%
Echo Global Logistics Inc1,2522.311.37-76.4%
Cargojet Inc1,4967.839.06-58.6%
Forward Air Corp502-26.5-132.55-902.8%
Bpost SA356-1.3-31.61-1874%
Radiant Logistics Inc2880.33.54-42.3%

HUBG Fair Value - Key Data

Market Cap (mil)2,078
P/E20x
Forward P/E22.4x
EPS1.69
Avg earnings growth rate23.8%
TTM earnings104

HUBG Fair Value - Formula's Origin

Peter Lynch is one of the most legendary investors/fund managers of all time. His philosophy for stock investing is very simple and straightforward: he invests in stocks that are undervalued, meaning its P/E is less than or equal to its earnings growth rate. He believes that if a stock is trading at its fair value, the PEG ratio, which was also invented by him, should be 1.

Therefore, his formula to determine a company's fair value is:

Peter Lynch Fair Value = Earnings Growth Rate * EPS * PEG

PEG is set to 1 so we can ignore it in the calculation. Based on the formula, if the earnings growth rate of a company is 15%, Peter Lynch is willing to buy its share up to P/E = 15.