UPS
United Parcel Service Inc
Price:  
104.13 
USD
Volume:  
2,961,256
United States | Air Freight & Logistics

UPS Intrinsic Value

21.7 %
Upside

What is the intrinsic value of UPS?

As of 2025-07-05, the Intrinsic Value of United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) is 126.74 USD. This UPS valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 104.13 USD, the upside of United Parcel Service Inc is 21.7%.

The range of the Intrinsic Value is 88.32 - 217.85 USD.

Is UPS undervalued or overvalued?

Based on its market price of 104.13 USD and our intrinsic valuation, United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) is undervalued by 21.7%.

104.13 USD
Stock Price
126.74 USD
Intrinsic Value
Intrinsic Value Details

UPS Intrinsic Value - Valuation Summary

Range Selected Upside
a
DCF (Growth Exit 5Y) 88.32 - 217.85 126.74 21.7%
DCF (Growth Exit 10Y) 99.49 - 225.5 137.19 31.7%
DCF (EBITDA Exit 5Y) 87.99 - 129.8 103.39 -0.7%
DCF (EBITDA Exit 10Y) 100.06 - 148.27 118.39 13.7%
Peter Lynch Fair Value 172.89 - 172.89 172.89 66.03%
P/E Multiples 112.92 - 146.75 129.66 24.5%
EV/EBITDA Multiples 79.14 - 141.22 107.88 3.6%
Earnings Power Value 181.63 - 241.71 211.67 103.3%
Dividend Discount Model - Stable 57.63 - 159 108.31 4.0%
Dividend Discount Model - Multi Stages 77.02 - 150.17 100.37 -3.6%

UPS Intrinsic Value - Key Valuation Metrics

Market Cap (mil)88,177
Beta0.67
Outstanding shares (mil)847
Enterprise Value (mil)104,744
Market risk premium5.1%
Cost of Equity9.15%
Cost of Debt4.3%
WACC8.0%