As of 2025-07-05, the Intrinsic Value of United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) is 125.55 USD. This UPS valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 104.13 USD, the upside of United Parcel Service Inc is 20.6%.

The range of the Intrinsic Value is 87.58 - 215.24 USD.

Is UPS undervalued or overvalued?

Based on its market price of 104.13 USD and our intrinsic valuation, United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) is undervalued by 20.6%.

104.13 USD

Stock Price

125.55 USD

Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic Value Details

UPS Intrinsic Value - Valuation Summary

	Range	Selected	Upside
a
DCF (Growth Exit 5Y)	87.58 - 215.24	125.55	20.6%
DCF (Growth Exit 10Y)	98.65 - 222.82	135.91	30.5%
DCF (EBITDA Exit 5Y)	87.79 - 129.6	103.20	-0.9%
DCF (EBITDA Exit 10Y)	99.67 - 147.86	117.99	13.3%
Peter Lynch Fair Value	172.89 - 172.89	172.89	66.03%
P/E Multiples	112.92 - 146.75	129.66	24.5%
EV/EBITDA Multiples	79.14 - 141.22	107.88	3.6%
Earnings Power Value	180.53 - 240.47	210.50	102.1%
Dividend Discount Model - Stable	57.47 - 158.42	107.94	3.7%
Dividend Discount Model - Multi Stages	76.82 - 149.64	100.08	-3.9%

UPS Intrinsic Value - Peers Comparison

	Range	Selected	Upside
a
FedEx Corp	189.4 - 467.45	273.95	13.6%
Expeditors International of Washington Inc	101.84 - 182.59	128.63	8.7%
XPO Logistics Inc	100.09 - 267.99	148.47	12.4%
CH Robinson Worldwide Inc	135.96 - 333.46	193.02	96.9%
Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Inc	106.45 - 182.98	136.87	33.6%
Hub Group Inc	15.95 - 97.43	28.46	-20.4%
Air Transport Services Group Inc	10.43 - 72.85	25.98	15.6%
Echo Global Logistics Inc	74.19 - 107.3	86.98	80.3%
PostNL NV	2.25 - 3.67	2.96	222.9%

UPS Intrinsic Value - Key Valuation Metrics

Market Cap (mil)	88,177
Beta	0.67
Outstanding shares (mil)	847
Enterprise Value (mil)	104,744

Market risk premium	5.1%
Cost of Equity	9.15%
Cost of Debt	4.3%
WACC	8.0%