As of 2026-05-06, the Intrinsic Value of Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST) is 42.53 USD. This Upstart valuation is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 31.17 USD, the upside of Upstart Holdings Inc is 36.40%.
The range of the Intrinsic Value is 22.46 - 124.42 USD
Based on its market price of 31.17 USD and our intrinsic valuation, Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST) is undervalued by 36.40%.
| Range | Selected | Upside | |
| a | |||
| DCF (Growth 5y) | 22.46 - 124.42 | 42.53 | 36.4% |
| DCF (Growth 10y) | 39.12 - 187.35 | 68.48 | 119.7% |
| DCF (EBITDA 5y) | 39.99 - 52.74 | 46.00 | 47.6% |
| DCF (EBITDA 10y) | 61.02 - 91.35 | 74.69 | 139.6% |
| Fair Value | 14.12 - 14.12 | 14.12 | -54.68% |
| P/E | 4.87 - 12.14 | 8.46 | -72.9% |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.38 - 28.08 | 16.37 | -47.5% |
| EPV | (26.27) - (33.51) | (29.89) | -195.9% |
| DDM - Stable | 4.87 - 14.73 | 9.80 | -68.6% |
| DDM - Multi | 18.49 - 44.59 | 26.27 | -15.7% |
| Market Cap (mil) | 2,957.10 |
| Beta | 2.69 |
| Outstanding shares (mil) | 94.87 |
| Enterprise Value (mil) | 4,133.86 |
| Market risk premium | 4.60% |
| Cost of Equity | 9.79% |
| Cost of Debt | 6.55% |
| WACC | 8.57% |