As of 2025-07-14, the Fair Value of XiAn Tian He Defense Technology Co Ltd (300397.SZ) is -1.38 CNY. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 13.39 CNY, the upside of XiAn Tian He Defense Technology Co Ltd is -110.3%.
With the market price of 13.39 CNY and our fair value calculation, XiAn Tian He Defense Technology Co Ltd (300397.SZ) is not a good investment. Investing in 300397.SZ stocks now will result in a potential loss of 110.3%.
Note: valuation result may not be accurate due to the company's negative EPS.
Peter Lynch's formula is:
The earnings growth rate we use in the formula is the average growth rate of net income/earnings over the last 5 years. If the average growth rate is smaller than 5%, we set it to 5%. If it is larger than 25%, we set it to 25%. If the TTM EPS is negative, Peter Lynch Fair Value's result can be unreliable.
Historical Earnings | ||||||
12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | 12-2024 | 5Y Avg | |
Net income | 102.9 | -72.11 | -151.26 | -195.82 | -105.37 | -84 |
YoY growth | 18.5% | -170.1% | -109.7% | -29.5% | 46.2% | -48.9% |
Market Cap (mil) | EPS | Fair Value | Upside | ||
a | |||||
XiAn Tian He Defense Technology Co Ltd | 6,931 | -0.3 | -1.38 | -110.3% | |
Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass Co Ltd | 28,370 | 0.7 | 10.5 | -80.7% | |
Xi'an Triangle Defense Co Ltd | 14,548 | 0.5 | 13.6 | -48.6% | |
Gaona Aero Material Co Ltd | 13,062 | 0.3 | 3.33 | -79.7% | |
AECC Aero Science and Technology Co Ltd | 9,263 | 0.2 | 5.64 | -79.9% | |
Qinhuangdao Tianqin Equipment Manufacturing Co Ltd | 4,072 | 0.3 | 1.58 | -93.9% |
Market Cap (mil) | 6,931 |
P/E | - |
Forward P/E | - |
EPS | -0.28 |
Avg earnings growth rate | -48.9% |
TTM earnings | -143 |
Peter Lynch is one of the most legendary investors/fund managers of all time. His philosophy for stock investing is very simple and straightforward: he invests in stocks that are undervalued, meaning its P/E is less than or equal to its earnings growth rate. He believes that if a stock is trading at its fair value, the PEG ratio, which was also invented by him, should be 1.
Therefore, his formula to determine a company's fair value is:
Peter Lynch Fair Value = Earnings Growth Rate * EPS * PEG
PEG is set to 1 so we can ignore it in the calculation. Based on the formula, if the earnings growth rate of a company is 15%, Peter Lynch is willing to buy its share up to P/E = 15.