The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of Xinyuan Property Management Service (Cayman) Ltd (1895.HK) is 1.31 HKD. With the latest stock price at 0.49 HKD, the upside of Xinyuan Property Management Service (Cayman) Ltd based on DCF is 167%.
Based on the latest price of 0.49 HKD and our DCF valuation, Xinyuan Property Management Service (Cayman) Ltd (1895.HK) is a buy. Buying 1895.HK stocks now will result in a potential gain of 167%.
Range | Selected | |
WACC / Discount Rate | 6.5% - 9.9% | 8.2% |
Long-term Growth Rate | 0.0% - 1.0% | 0.5% |
Fair Price | 1.13 - 1.63 | 1.31 |
Upside | 130.4% - 233.2% | 167.0% |
(CNY in millions) | Projections | |||||
12-2024 | 12-2025 | 12-2026 | 12-2027 | 12-2028 | 12-2029 | |
Revenue | 869 | 907 | 960 | 1,003 | 1,063 | 1,116 |
% Growth | 16% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% |
Cost of goods sold | (624) | (651) | (689) | (720) | (763) | (801) |
% of Revenue | 72% | 72% | 72% | 72% | 72% | 72% |
Selling, G&A expenses | (156) | (162) | (172) | (180) | (190) | (200) |
% of Revenue | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
Research & Development | (17) | (18) | (19) | (20) | (21) | (22) |
% of Revenue | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Net interest & other expenses | 20 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
% of Revenue | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Tax expense | (4) | (28) | (30) | (31) | (33) | (35) |
Tax rate | 4% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Net profit | 89 | 68 | 72 | 75 | 80 | 84 |
% Margin | 10% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |