1895.HK
Xinyuan Property Management Service (Cayman) Ltd
Price:  
0.49 
HKD
Volume:  
497,000
China | Real Estate Management & Development

1895.HK DCF Valuation - Growth Exit 5Y

167 %
Upside

What is the DCF valuation of 1895.HK?

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of Xinyuan Property Management Service (Cayman) Ltd (1895.HK) is 1.31 HKD. With the latest stock price at 0.49 HKD, the upside of Xinyuan Property Management Service (Cayman) Ltd based on DCF is 167%.

Is 1895.HK a buy or a sell?

Based on the latest price of 0.49 HKD and our DCF valuation, Xinyuan Property Management Service (Cayman) Ltd (1895.HK) is a buy. Buying 1895.HK stocks now will result in a potential gain of 167%.

Range Selected
WACC / Discount Rate6.5% - 9.9%8.2%
Long-term Growth Rate 0.0% - 1.0%0.5%
Fair Price1.13 - 1.631.31
Upside130.4% - 233.2%167.0%
0.49 HKD
Stock Price
1.31 HKD
Fair Price
REVENUE & EXPENSES
CAPEX
D&A
WORKING CAPITAL
TERMINAL VALUE

1895.HK DCF Valuation: Revenue & Expenses Forecast

(CNY in millions)Projections
12-202412-202512-202612-202712-202812-2029
Revenue8699079601,0031,0631,116
% Growth
16%4%6%5%6%5%
Cost of goods sold(624)(651)(689)(720)(763)(801)
% of Revenue72%72%72%72%72%72%
Selling, G&A expenses(156)(162)(172)(180)(190)(200)
% of Revenue18%18%18%18%18%18%
Research & Development(17)(18)(19)(20)(21)(22)
% of Revenue2%2%2%2%2%2%
Net interest & other expenses202123242526
% of Revenue2%2%2%2%2%2%
Tax expense(4)(28)(30)(31)(33)(35)
Tax rate4%29%29%29%29%29%
Net profit896872758084
% Margin10%8%8%8%8%8%