603779.SS
Weilong Grape Wine Co Ltd
Price:  
7.54 
CNY
Volume:  
5,080,058
China | Beverages

603779.SS DCF Valuation - Growth Exit 5Y

-65.5 %
Upside

What is the DCF valuation of 603779.SS?

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of Weilong Grape Wine Co Ltd (603779.SS) is 2.60 CNY. With the latest stock price at 7.54 CNY, the upside of Weilong Grape Wine Co Ltd based on DCF is -65.5%.

Is 603779.SS a buy or a sell?

Based on the latest price of 7.54 CNY and our DCF valuation, Weilong Grape Wine Co Ltd (603779.SS) is a sell. Selling 603779.SS stocks now will result in a potential gain of 65.5%.

Range Selected
WACC / Discount Rate7.7% - 10.2%9.0%
Long-term Growth Rate 3.0% - 5.0%4.0%
Fair Price1.7 - 5.022.60
Upside-77.4% - -33.4%-65.5%
7.54 CNY
Stock Price
2.60 CNY
Fair Price
REVENUE & EXPENSES
CAPEX
D&A
WORKING CAPITAL
TERMINAL VALUE

603779.SS DCF Valuation: Revenue & Expenses Forecast

(CNY in millions)Projections
12-202412-202512-202612-202712-202812-2029
Revenue445332355366380404
% Growth
16%-26%7%3%4%6%
Cost of goods sold(231)(163)(166)(163)(160)(162)
% of Revenue52%49%47%44%42%40%
Selling, G&A expenses(152)(113)(121)(125)(130)(138)
% of Revenue34%34%34%34%34%34%
Research & Development(2)(2)(2)(2)(2)(2)
% of Revenue0%0%0%0%0%0%
Net interest & other expenses(41)(30)(33)(34)(35)(37)
% of Revenue9%9%9%9%9%9%
Tax expense(9)(3)(4)(5)(7)(8)
Tax rate47%13%13%13%13%13%
Net profit102029384657
% Margin2%6%8%10%12%14%