CTRA
Contura Energy Inc
Price:  
25.18 
USD
Volume:  
7,839,643
United States | Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels

CTRA Fair Value

67.2 %
Upside

What is the fair value of CTRA?

As of 2025-07-09, the Fair Value of Contura Energy Inc (CTRA) is 42.09 USD. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 25.18 USD, the upside of Contura Energy Inc is 67.2%.

Is CTRA a good investment?

With the market price of 25.18 USD and our fair value calculation, Contura Energy Inc (CTRA) is a good investment. Investing in CTRA stocks now will result in a potential gain of 67.2%.

25.18 USD
Stock Price
42.09 USD
Fair Price
FAIR VALUE CALCULATION

CTRA Fair Value

Peter Lynch's formula is:

CTRA Fair Value
= Earnings Growth Rate x TTM EPS
CTRA Fair Value
= 25 x 1.68
CTRA Fair Value
= 42.09

The earnings growth rate we use in the formula is the average growth rate of net income/earnings over the last 5 years. If the average growth rate is smaller than 5%, we set it to 5%. If it is larger than 25%, we set it to 25%. If the TTM EPS is negative, Peter Lynch Fair Value's result can be unreliable.

Historical Earnings
12-202012-202112-202212-202312-20245Y Avg
Net income200.531,1584,0651,6251,1211,634
YoY growth-70.6%477.5%251%-60%-31%113.4%

CTRA Fair Value - Peers Benchmarking

Market Cap (mil)EPS Fair Value Upside
a
Nucor Corp32,2435.8144.983.8%
Steel Dynamics Inc20,1957.9197.0844.9%
Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co17,21914.7366.9912.1%
Carpenter Technology Corp13,7137.235.95-87%
United States Steel Corp12,4170.410.71-80.5%
Allegheny Technologies Inc12,3902.818.72-78.7%
Commercial Metals Co5,8710.38.14-84.3%
Worthington Industries Inc3,1961.948.1-24.9%
Sims Ltd3,163-0.6-2.96-118.1%

CTRA Fair Value - Key Data

Market Cap (mil)19,219
P/E15x
Forward P/E12.4x
EPS1.68
Avg earnings growth rate113.4%
TTM earnings1,285

CTRA Fair Value - Formula's Origin

Peter Lynch is one of the most legendary investors/fund managers of all time. His philosophy for stock investing is very simple and straightforward: he invests in stocks that are undervalued, meaning its P/E is less than or equal to its earnings growth rate. He believes that if a stock is trading at its fair value, the PEG ratio, which was also invented by him, should be 1.

Therefore, his formula to determine a company's fair value is:

Peter Lynch Fair Value = Earnings Growth Rate * EPS * PEG

PEG is set to 1 so we can ignore it in the calculation. Based on the formula, if the earnings growth rate of a company is 15%, Peter Lynch is willing to buy its share up to P/E = 15.