3983.HK
China BlueChemical Ltd
Price:  
2.08 
HKD
Volume:  
2,570,000
China | Chemicals

3983.HK DCF Valuation - Growth Exit 5Y

44.4 %
Upside

What is the DCF valuation of 3983.HK?

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of China BlueChemical Ltd (3983.HK) is 3.00 HKD. With the latest stock price at 2.08 HKD, the upside of China BlueChemical Ltd based on DCF is 44.4%.

Is 3983.HK a buy or a sell?

Based on the latest price of 2.08 HKD and our DCF valuation, China BlueChemical Ltd (3983.HK) is a buy. Buying 3983.HK stocks now will result in a potential gain of 44.4%.

Range Selected
WACC / Discount Rate6.5% - 8.5%7.5%
Long-term Growth Rate 1.0% - 3.0%2.0%
Fair Price2.23 - 4.643.00
Upside7.2% - 123.0%44.4%
2.08 HKD
Stock Price
3.00 HKD
Fair Price
REVENUE & EXPENSES
CAPEX
D&A
WORKING CAPITAL
TERMINAL VALUE

3983.HK DCF Valuation: Revenue & Expenses Forecast

(CNY in millions)Projections
12-202412-202512-202612-202712-202812-2029
Revenue11,94613,65813,75514,03414,46615,082
% Growth
8%14%1%2%3%4%
Cost of goods sold(10,242)(11,709)(11,792)(12,032)(12,402)(12,930)
% of Revenue86%86%86%86%86%86%
Selling, G&A expenses(720)(824)(829)(846)(872)(909)
% of Revenue6%6%6%6%6%6%
Research & Development000000
% of Revenue0%0%0%0%0%0%
Net interest & other expenses483552556567585610
% of Revenue4%4%4%4%4%4%
Tax expense(316)(361)(364)(371)(383)(399)
Tax rate22%22%22%22%22%22%
Net profit1,1511,3161,3251,3521,3941,453
% Margin10%10%10%10%10%10%