601568.SS
Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co Ltd
Price:  
4.27 
CNY
Volume:  
12,271,480
China | Chemicals

601568.SS DCF Valuation - Growth Exit 5Y

-12.1 %
Upside

What is the DCF valuation of 601568.SS?

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co Ltd (601568.SS) is 3.75 CNY. With the latest stock price at 4.27 CNY, the upside of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co Ltd based on DCF is -12.1%.

Is 601568.SS a buy or a sell?

Based on the latest price of 4.27 CNY and our DCF valuation, Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co Ltd (601568.SS) is a sell. Selling 601568.SS stocks now will result in a potential gain of 12.1%.

Range Selected
WACC / Discount Rate7.8% - 10.3%9.0%
Long-term Growth Rate 1.0% - 3.0%2.0%
Fair Price3.12 - 4.973.75
Upside-27.0% - 16.3%-12.1%
4.27 CNY
Stock Price
3.75 CNY
Fair Price
REVENUE & EXPENSES
CAPEX
D&A
WORKING CAPITAL
TERMINAL VALUE

601568.SS DCF Valuation: Revenue & Expenses Forecast

(CNY in millions)Projections
12-202412-202512-202612-202712-202812-2029
Revenue10,07810,12810,33110,53710,74810,963
% Growth
8%0%2%2%2%2%
Cost of goods sold(9,168)(9,029)(9,026)(9,022)(9,019)(9,015)
% of Revenue91%89%87%86%84%82%
Selling, G&A expenses(517)(519)(530)(540)(551)(562)
% of Revenue5%5%5%5%5%5%
Research & Development(129)(130)(133)(135)(138)(141)
% of Revenue1%1%1%1%1%1%
Net interest & other expenses676769707173
% of Revenue1%1%1%1%1%1%
Tax expense(100)(75)(103)(132)(161)(191)
Tax rate30%15%15%15%15%15%
Net profit2314426087789511,127
% Margin2%4%6%7%9%10%