JG
Aurora Mobile Ltd
Price:  
10.67 
USD
Volume:  
2,432
China | Software

JG DCF Valuation - Growth Exit 5Y

-106.9 %
Upside

What is the DCF valuation of JG?

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of Aurora Mobile Ltd (JG) is (0.73) USD. With the latest stock price at 10.67 USD, the upside of Aurora Mobile Ltd based on DCF is -106.9%.

Is JG a buy or a sell?

Based on the latest price of 10.67 USD and our DCF valuation, Aurora Mobile Ltd (JG) is a sell. Selling JG stocks now will result in a potential gain of 106.9%.

Note: valuation result may not be accurate due to the company's negative earnings.

Range Selected
WACC / Discount Rate8.2% - 12.0%10.1%
Long-term Growth Rate 2.5% - 4.5%3.5%
Fair Price(0.82) - (0.49)(0.73)
Upside-107.7% - -104.6%-106.9%
10.67 USD
Stock Price
(0.73) USD
Fair Price
REVENUE & EXPENSES
CAPEX
D&A
WORKING CAPITAL
TERMINAL VALUE

JG DCF Valuation: Revenue & Expenses Forecast

(CNY in millions)Projections
12-202412-202512-202612-202712-202812-2029
Revenue316563574615638661
% Growth
9%78%2%7%4%4%
Cost of goods sold(107)(187)(187)(196)(199)(202)
% of Revenue34%33%33%32%31%31%
Selling, G&A expenses(130)(232)(236)(253)(262)(272)
% of Revenue41%41%41%41%41%41%
Research & Development000000
% of Revenue0%0%0%0%0%0%
Net interest & other expenses(86)(153)(156)(167)(173)(179)
% of Revenue27%27%27%27%27%27%
Tax expense(0)000(0)(0)
Tax rate2%0%0%0%0%0%
Net profit(7)(8)(4)(1)38
% Margin-2%-1%-1%0%1%1%