The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of Sigma Healthcare Ltd (SIG.AX) is 1.81 AUD. With the latest stock price at 3.02 AUD, the upside of Sigma Healthcare Ltd based on DCF is -40.2%.
Based on the latest price of 3.02 AUD and our DCF valuation, Sigma Healthcare Ltd (SIG.AX) is a sell. Selling SIG.AX stocks now will result in a potential gain of 40.2%.
Range | Selected | |
WACC / Discount Rate | 6.5% - 9.3% | 7.9% |
Long-term Growth Rate | 3.0% - 5.0% | 4.0% |
Fair Price | 1.12 - 4.76 | 1.81 |
Upside | -63.0% - 57.5% | -40.2% |
(AUD in millions) | Projections | |||||
01-2025 | 01-2026 | 01-2027 | 01-2028 | 01-2029 | 01-2030 | |
Revenue | 4,926 | 8,347 | 9,059 | 10,547 | 12,012 | 13,648 |
% Growth | 44% | 69% | 9% | 16% | 14% | 14% |
Cost of goods sold | (4,560) | (7,341) | (7,568) | (8,371) | (9,058) | (9,776) |
% of Revenue | 93% | 88% | 84% | 79% | 75% | 72% |
Selling, G&A expenses | (313) | (530) | (575) | (670) | (763) | (867) |
% of Revenue | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
% of Revenue | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Net interest & other expenses | (42) | (71) | (77) | (89) | (102) | (116) |
% of Revenue | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Tax expense | (24) | (181) | (374) | (631) | (932) | (1,288) |
Tax rate | 216% | 45% | 45% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
Net profit | (13) | 225 | 464 | 785 | 1,158 | 1,601 |
% Margin | 0% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% |