3166.T
Ochi Holdings Co Ltd
Price:  
1,410 
JPY
Volume:  
3,000
Japan | Trading Companies & Distributors

3166.T DCF Valuation - Growth Exit 5Y

56.8 %
Upside

What is the DCF valuation of 3166.T?

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of Ochi Holdings Co Ltd (3166.T) is 2,211.17 JPY. With the latest stock price at 1,410.00 JPY, the upside of Ochi Holdings Co Ltd based on DCF is 56.8%.

Is 3166.T a buy or a sell?

Based on the latest price of 1,410.00 JPY and our DCF valuation, Ochi Holdings Co Ltd (3166.T) is a buy. Buying 3166.T stocks now will result in a potential gain of 56.8%.

Range Selected
WACC / Discount Rate6.1% - 8.3%7.2%
Long-term Growth Rate 0.0% - 1.0%0.5%
Fair Price1,911.01 - 2,703.432,211.17
Upside35.5% - 91.7%56.8%
1,410.00 JPY
Stock Price
2,211.17 JPY
Fair Price
REVENUE & EXPENSES
CAPEX
D&A
WORKING CAPITAL
TERMINAL VALUE

3166.T DCF Valuation: Revenue & Expenses Forecast

(JPY in millions)Projections
03-202503-202603-202703-202803-202903-2030
Revenue117,084122,409125,864131,844134,481142,712
% Growth
3%5%3%5%2%6%
Cost of goods sold(100,831)(105,416)(108,392)(113,542)(115,813)(122,902)
% of Revenue86%86%86%86%86%86%
Selling, G&A expenses(13,948)(14,582)(14,994)(15,706)(16,020)(17,001)
% of Revenue12%12%12%12%12%12%
Research & Development000000
% of Revenue0%0%0%0%0%0%
Net interest & other expenses(300)(314)(322)(338)(345)(366)
% of Revenue0%0%0%0%0%0%
Tax expense(963)(775)(797)(835)(852)(904)
Tax rate48%37%37%37%37%37%
Net profit1,0421,3211,3581,4221,4511,540
% Margin1%1%1%1%1%1%