The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation of Vistra Corp (VST) is 188.41 USD. With the latest stock price at 193.70 USD, the upside of Vistra Corp based on DCF is -2.7%.
Based on the latest price of 193.70 USD and our DCF valuation, Vistra Corp (VST) is a sell. Selling Vistra stocks now will result in a potential gain of 2.7%.
Range | Selected | |
WACC / Discount Rate | 5.4% - 7.2% | 6.3% |
Long-term Growth Rate | 1.0% - 3.0% | 2.0% |
Fair Price | 119.69 - 366.44 | 188.41 |
Upside | -38.2% - 89.2% | -2.7% |
(USD in millions) | Projections | |||||
12-2024 | 12-2025 | 12-2026 | 12-2027 | 12-2028 | 12-2029 | |
Revenue | 14,761 | 15,511 | 16,298 | 17,021 | 17,484 | 17,834 |
% Growth | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
Cost of goods sold | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
% of Revenue | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Selling, G&A expenses | (1,601) | (1,682) | (1,768) | (1,846) | (1,896) | (1,934) |
% of Revenue | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Research & Development | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
% of Revenue | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Net interest & other expenses | (9,693) | (10,185) | (10,703) | (11,177) | (11,481) | (11,711) |
% of Revenue | 66% | 66% | 66% | 66% | 66% | 66% |
Tax expense | (655) | (925) | (972) | (1,015) | (1,043) | (1,064) |
Tax rate | 19% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Net profit | 2,812 | 2,718 | 2,856 | 2,982 | 3,064 | 3,125 |
% Margin | 19% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% |